Obama.

My expert psephologist source tells me that Obama will take Ohio and consequently, the presidency.

Anyway - we'll soon know. With it being this close, I would hazard a guess that the Republicans are now wishing that they had gone for Ryan or Christie who are NOT Mormon. Another 1% is probably all that it would have taken and I'm certain that many Christians will have abstained because of 'a-plague-on-both-your-houses' kind of thinking.
Still. We shall see!