Professor Tim Congdon Is On The Mark - Again.

The higher the UKIP share in future by-elections, and in the 2014 European election, the greater is the likelihood that the next leader of the Conservative Party will support the UK’s withdrawal from the EU. Let me be clear at this point. We must not trust the Conservative Party.
Its electoral success in the 20^th century was based on its claim to defend Britain’s institutions, traditions and culture, but it routinely betrayed all of them. Two of its leaders – Neville Chamberlain and Ted Heath – let their country down badly/disastrously in key negotiations with European leaders. In my view David Cameron is in the same mould as Chamberlain and Heath, and we cannot be sure that his successor will be any better. The best way for UKIP to secure its aim of withdrawal from the EU is to oppose the Conservative Party, as well as Labour and the LibDems, at every opportunity. If the next leader of the Conservative Party nevertheless favours the UK’s exit from the EU, and does in fact achieve UK withdrawal, well, fine. UKIP may have been ‘outflanked’ in the trivial sense that it has received fewer votes than the Conservatives, but we will have what we wanted.