The key takeaway should rather be the consolidation of conservative and
right-wing liberal parties in the Netherlands, and the further fragmentation of
the political landscape.
The left-wing parties of PvdA (S&D), Groen-Links (Greens) and SP
(GUE) have taken fewer seats altogether in the parliament than the PvdA had in
its past mandate: 37 vs 38. They now represent less than a quarter of the
votes.
The collapsing left
How did the left collapse so badly?
One strand of thought considers the disappearing dichotomy between left
and right on socio-economic issues. Some see this as a structural tendency,
whereas others see this as a temporary phenomenon.
The liberal-conservative VVD and the social-democrat PvdA were the
biggest adversaries in the 2012 election, but the coalition government of these
two parties minimised the differences between them.
Indeed, a demonstration of the differences – on many issues such as tax
avoidance, bankers’ bonus, flexible labour contract, and so on – is necessary
for the voters to see the dichotomy, and it is necessary for the election
campaign to revolve around socio-economic issues.
Another strand of thought points to the ongoing fragmentation of the
political landscape.
The Socialist Party of Emile Roemer has been competing with the
charismatic new kid, Jesse Klaver, to draw in disenchanted PvdA
voters.
Yet only 10 of the 29 seats that were lost went to either of the two
left-wing parties according to IPSOS, a research firm.
In fact, it was very clear that neither of these two parties were good
alternatives. Some voters turned to Liberal party D66, which takes a position in
the middle, and some did not turn up to the ballot boxes at
all.
New parties
Others found their way to relatively new parties.
For instance, ‘Denk’ won three seats from voters with non-Dutch ethnic
backgrounds, mainly Turkish and Moroccan. 50+, a party that focuses on upset
pensioners, increased its share to four seats. Finally, the animal party - a
mixed bag of extreme left, ecologists and EU sceptics - captured a further five
seats.
Yet, Mr. Rutte did not suffer from the fragmentation, even though there
has been a flurry of new right-wing parties. Despite having lost eight seats,
his liberal-conservative VVD remains in an unchallenged pole
position.
It is surprising to see how tepidly many among the left have responded to
this defeat, sharing in the Europe-wide sigh of relief after holding off Geert
Wilders.
It could be said that the decline of the left is a mix of both
tendencies. The PvdA has not been able to contrast with and confront the
right-wing Mark Rutte, and the scattering of the political field into special
interest parties has paralysed and diluted the left.
The result
So, we will face a third term of a prime minister whose party has taken
no measures on climate change. A party that pursues an active agenda of making
our country more unequal. A party that celebrates the blessings of tax avoidance
(under the euphemism of ‘positive investment climate’).
A party that greedily adopts the belligerent anti-immigration language of
Geert Wilders, to pay lip service to his potential voters.
Wilders won five seats and lost any prospect of governing, but his
biggest win is that he lured people into believing that the elections were a
struggle between right and far-right
After two decades of right-wing prime ministers, there is a tremendous
amount of work to do for the left to make the Netherlands more inclusive, more
equal and more socially just.
The onus will be on a broad left-wing movement that can connect people
beyond special interests and that dares to confront and contrast with the
right.
Let’s start our fight. EU Observer.
Paul Tang is a Dutch MEP from the Socialists &
Democrats Group in the European Parliament and a member of the Labour Party
(PvdA) in the Netherlands.
