Friday, June 07, 2024

Reform To Overtake Tories? - (I had been expecting this in the longer term but this would be super!)

Nigel Farage

The return of Nigel Farage has already seen Reform surge in popularity in a fresh YouGov poll CREDIT: James Manning/PA Wire

KEY MOMENTS

Chosen by us to get you up to speed at a glance

8:19pm
Allister Heath: The Tory Left are driving their party to annihilation
7:58pm
Starmer: We owe huge debt of gratitude to our veterans
6:17pm
Vaughan Gething vows to stay on after losing confidence vote
5:21pm
Farage on shock poll: ‘We’re just getting started’
5:20pm
Sunak and Starmer agree to Sky News debate

Reform will overtake the Conservative Party in the polls this weekend, former cabinet minister Nadine Dorries has claimed in the wake of a fresh polling blow.

Ms Dorries, who served as culture secretary under Boris Johnson, made the prediction after a YouGov survey showed Nigel Farage’s outfit just two percentage points behind the Conservatives.

The poll put Reform on 17 per cent and the Tories on 19 per cent, while Labour fell by six points to 40 per cent.

It came as Richard Holden, the Chairman of the Conservative Party, was imposed on a safe Tory seat as the sole candidate in a process which local activists have condemned as a “stitch up”.

Writing on X, formerly Twitter, Ms Dorries said: “I’m guessing that after the appalling events of the past few days over candidate selection, that Reform  will have overtaken us in the polls by Saturday evening.”

8:38PM

New poll forecasts Tory wipeout - and has Reform two points behind

Reform UK is polling just two points behind the Tories in the wake of Nigel Farage’s announcement that he will stand as an MP.

A YouGov survey found that Mr Farage’s party is at 17 per cent, with the Conservatives at 19 per cent.

The polling company has changed its methodology this week and, under its old system, the Tories and Reform would have been neck and neck on 18 per cent.

The survey of around 2,000 people will cause alarm in Conservative headquarters, as it points towards a Tory wipeout on July 4. With Labour on 40 per cent, it gives Sir Keir Starmer a 21-point lead over the Tories – enough for a huge majority in the Commons.

Read the full story here


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