I’ve been thinking about this...but we’d need a very precise estimate of R (which isn’t constant) *and* the length of a cycle.
At R=0.6, 5 cycles would go from 100 people to 8 people on average (rounded).
At R=0.8, 5 cycles would go from 100 to 33.
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https://www.christiandaily.com/news/irish-lawmakers-reject-effort-to-remove-remaining-abortion-barriers
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