How Dan Hannan Sees It.

Here’s how it will go. The EU, after some sneering and posturing, will reject Boris Johnson’s deal. It will do so because it is convinced that the Benn Act – we’re not supposed to call it the Surrender Act, so let’s go with Abject National Grovelling Act – will force us to seek another extension. It expects that extension to lead to a general election, which it hopes our pro-Brussels parties will win. Brexit could then be reversed: total victory for the federalists, total ruin for the souverainistes. And should Boris win, well, Brussels can always come back to his proposals then.

Can I be certain of this sequence of events? Of course not: no one can be certain of anything in British politics... ST.